So what about last year? Cut and paste what I wrote about Atlanta. Boston had a bad April, kicked all kinds of ass from May - August, then got drunk and ate too much fried chicken in September and missed the playoffs on the final day of the season.
So who's playing where? Projected lineup courtesy of Rotochamp.com. Stats are from 2011. RNK is the player's ranking at that position from our fantasy rankings.
| Player | POS | 2011 Team | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | RNK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacoby Ellsbury | OF | BOS | 660 | 119 | 32 | 105 | 39 | .321 | .376 | .552 | 4th |
| 2 | Carl Crawford | OF | BOS | 506 | 65 | 11 | 56 | 18 | .255 | .289 | .405 | 23rd |
| 3 | Dustin Pedroia | 2B | BOS | 635 | 102 | 21 | 91 | 26 | .307 | .387 | .474 | 2nd |
| 4 | Adrian Gonzalez | 1B | BOS | 630 | 108 | 27 | 117 | 1 | .338 | .410 | .548 | 4th |
| 5 | David Ortiz | DH | BOS | 525 | 84 | 29 | 96 | 1 | .309 | .398 | .554 | NR |
| 6 | Kevin Youkilis | 3B | BOS | 431 | 68 | 17 | 80 | 3 | .258 | .373 | .459 | 13th |
| 7 | Cody Ross | OF | SF | 405 | 54 | 14 | 52 | 5 | .240 | .325 | .405 | 92nd |
| 8 | Jarrod Saltalamacchia | C | BOS | 358 | 52 | 16 | 56 | 1 | .235 | .288 | .450 | 23rd |
| 9 | Mike Aviles | SS | KC/BOS | 286 | 31 | 7 | 39 | 14 | .255 | .289 | .409 | 26th |
Who do I draft? Take your pick. Ellsbury is a first round pick. Pedroia usually goes in the second. Ortiz is good for 25-30 homers even in a bad year.
Who do I avoid? Injury concerns about Youk and Crawford aside, I'm going to go out on a limb and say Adrian Gonzalez. Obviously in a keeper league you keep him and don't give it a second thought. But in redraft leagues, he's going way higher than I like. Homers were down last year, and Boston isn't actually too friendly to left handed power hitters. His insanely high BABIP is going to drop, bringing his average to about the .280 to .300 level. Coming into his second full season after shoulder surgery, there's a chance he goes bananas and hits 40 homers like everyone expected last year. But if he only hit 25, it wouldn't surprise me. Now a .300 average, 25 homers and well over 100 RBI is nothing to sneeze at, but that's not what you want out of the 6th or 7th pick in the draft.
Who do I keep an eye on? SALTY! Dude hit 10 homers in the second half last year. He's got a chance at 15-20 with an average that won't murder you too much every week. As the 23rd catcher off the board, you could do a lot worse.
So who's in the rotation? Projected lineup courtesy of Rotochamp.com. Stats are from 2011. RNK is the player's ranking at that position from our fantasy rankings.
Who do I draft? Pencil in Lester for the same stat line as last year: ERA between 3.20 and 3.50, 180 - 200 K's. The only thing that seems to fluctuate is wins. Beckett won't be as awesome as last year, but he'll certainly be better than he was in 2010.
Who do I avoid? If you think Aceves can be a full-time starter this season and still have an ERA under 3.00, there's a money league I'd like to invite you to. There's no way he repeats the insanely low BABIP (.231) and he doesn't strike enough hitters out to be as dominant as he was last year. I call it luck. I also call maybe 15 starts over the season with an ERA between 3.80 and 4.20 (Heh...4:20, mannnnn...). Avoid Bard too, at least at the position he's being drafted in. Reliever-to-starter transitions are always risky, especially in the first year. If he drops to you late, go for it. otherwise let him be someone else's problem.
Who do I keep an eye on? Clay Buchholz had a stress fracture in his back last season. The year before he was not too shabby. Keep an eye on him in Spring Training.
Who the hell is closing?
Andrew Bailey gets hurt more than a 12 year old girl's feelings. Keep Mellonballer as a handcuff if you draft him.
So who's in the rotation? Projected lineup courtesy of Rotochamp.com. Stats are from 2011. RNK is the player's ranking at that position from our fantasy rankings.
| Player | POS | 2011 Team | IP | W | L | ERA | WHIP | K | BB | RNK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Lester | SP | BOS | 191.2 | 15 | 9 | 3.47 | 1.26 | 182 | 75 | 16th |
| 2 | Josh Beckett | SP | BOS | 193.0 | 13 | 7 | 2.89 | 1.03 | 175 | 52 | 25th |
| 3 | Clay Buchholz | SP | BOS | 82.2 | 6 | 3 | 3.48 | 1.29 | 60 | 31 | 58th |
| 4 | Daniel Bard | SP | BOS | 73.0 | 2 | 9 | 3.33 | 0.96 | 74 | 24 | 71st |
| 5 | Alfredo Aceves | SP | BOS | 114.0 | 16 | 5 | 2.61 | 1.11 | 80 | 42 | 93rd |
Who do I draft? Pencil in Lester for the same stat line as last year: ERA between 3.20 and 3.50, 180 - 200 K's. The only thing that seems to fluctuate is wins. Beckett won't be as awesome as last year, but he'll certainly be better than he was in 2010.
Who do I avoid? If you think Aceves can be a full-time starter this season and still have an ERA under 3.00, there's a money league I'd like to invite you to. There's no way he repeats the insanely low BABIP (.231) and he doesn't strike enough hitters out to be as dominant as he was last year. I call it luck. I also call maybe 15 starts over the season with an ERA between 3.80 and 4.20 (Heh...4:20, mannnnn...). Avoid Bard too, at least at the position he's being drafted in. Reliever-to-starter transitions are always risky, especially in the first year. If he drops to you late, go for it. otherwise let him be someone else's problem.
Who do I keep an eye on? Clay Buchholz had a stress fracture in his back last season. The year before he was not too shabby. Keep an eye on him in Spring Training.
Who the hell is closing?
| Player | POS | 2011 Team | IP | W | L | Saves | ERA | WHIP | K | BB | RNK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bailey | RP | OAK | 41.2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 3.24 | 1.10 | 41 | 12 | 12th |
| Mark Melancon | RP | HOU | 74.1 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 2.78 | 1.22 | 66 | 26 | 51st |
Andrew Bailey gets hurt more than a 12 year old girl's feelings. Keep Mellonballer as a handcuff if you draft him.
What if that asshole gets hurt or starts to suck? Melancon, duh.















